Desigualdades espaciales de la incidencia de la COVID-19 en relación con factores económicos y sociodemográficos en la Comunidad Autónoma de Madrid (España)
Resumen
En este artículo se modela la relación entre la incidencia de la COVID-19 y varios factores socioeconómicos durante el segundo período epidémico (22/06/2020 – 06/12/2020) en la Comunidad de Madrid (España). Los datos tomados en zonas básicas de salud (ZBS) se ajustan mediante el método del bosque aleatorio, muy apropiado para capturar relaciones no lineales y obtener predicciones más precisas y robustas. Los resultados muestran que el impacto de las variables socioeconómicas en las tasas de incidencia de la COVID-19 no es uniforme y que la renta media tiene una influencia más fuerte que la densidad de población, la proporción de población española, la edad media de la población y el tamaño medio de los hogares. De la combinación de los impactos emerge un patrón espacial complejo que refleja el peso relativo de los diferentes factores en la intensidad de la pandemia. Esta información es estratégica para la gestión eficaz de los recursos sanitarios.
Palabras clave
COVID-19, factores económicos, factores sociodemográficos, bosque aleatorio, Comunidad Autónoma de MadridCitas
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Derechos de autor 2024 Severino Escolano-Utrilla, Andrés Roca-Medina, Diego Barrado-Timón
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