Desigualtats espacials de la incidència de la COVID-19 en relació amb factors econòmics i sociodemogràfics a la Comunitat Autònoma de Madrid (Espanya)
Resum
En aquest article es modela la relació entre la incidència de la COVID-19 i diversos factors socioeconòmics durant el segon període epidèmic (22/06/2020 – 06/12/2020) a la Comunitat de Madrid (Espanya). Les dades obtingudes a zones bàsiques de salut (ZBS) s’ajusten mitjançant el mètode del bosc aleatori, molt apropiat per capturar relacions no lineals i obtenir prediccions més precises i robustes. Els resultats mostren que l’impacte de les variables socioeconòmiques en les taxes d’incidència de la COVID-19 no és uniforme i que la renda té una influència més forta que la densitat de població, la proporció de població espanyola, l’edat mitjana de la població i la mida mitjana de les llars. De la combinació dels impactes emergeix un patró espacial complex que reflecteix el pes relatiu dels diferents factors en la intensitat de la pandèmia. Aquesta informació és estratègica per a la gestió eficaç dels recursos sanitaris.
Paraules clau
COVID-19, factors econòmics, factors sociodemogràfics, bosc aleatori, Comunitat Autònoma de MadridReferències
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